Historical Chart Gallery

Four-Year Presidential Cycles

These charts show how the several key market indexes performed during each president's four year term of office going back to 1900. The charts begin and end on November 1st. Some research has suggested that the last two years of the four-year Presidential Cycle are normally positive for the market. Other research by Yale Hirsch suggests that markets are generally weaker in the first year after a new President is elected.

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2020-Present - Biden

Market index for Biden's term

2016-2020 - Trump

Market index for Trump's term

2012-2016 - Obama's 2nd Term

Market index for Obama's 2nd term

2008-2012 - Obama's 1st Term

Market index for Obama's 1st term

2004-2008 - Bush's 2nd Term

Market index for Bush's 2nd term

2000-2004 - Bush's 1st Term

Market index for Bush's 1st term

1996-2000 - Clinton's 2nd Term

Market index for Clinton's 2nd term

1992-1996 - Clinton's 1st Term

Market index for Clinton's 1st term

1988-1992 - Bush

Market index for Bush's term

1984-1988 - Reagan's 2nd Term

Market index for Reagan's 2nd term

1980-1984 - Reagan's 1st Term

Market index for Reagan's 1st term

1976-1980 - Carter

Market index for Carter's term

1972-1976 - Nixon's 2nd / Ford

Market index for Nixon's 2nd term/Ford's term

1968-1972 - Nixon's 1st Term

Market index for Nixon's 1st term

1964-1968 - Johnson

Market index for Johnson's term

1960-1964 - Kennedy / Johnson

Market index for Kennedy/Johnson's term

1956-1960 - Eisenhower's 2nd Term

Market index for Eisenhower's 2nd term

1952-1956 - Eisenhower's 1st Term

Market index for Eisenhower's 1st term

1948-1952 - Truman's 2nd Term

Market index for Truman's 2nd term

1944-1948 - Truman's 1st Term

Market index for Truman's 1st term

1940-1944 - Roosevelt's 3rd Term

Market index for Roosevelt's 3rd term

1936-1940 - Roosevelt's 2nd Term

Market index for Roosevelt's 2nd term

1932-1936 - Roosevelt's 1st Term

Market index for Roosevelt's 1st term

1928-1932 - Hoover

Market index for Hoover's term

1924-1928 - Coolidge

Market index for Coolidge's term

1920-1924 - Harding

Market index for Harding's term

1916-1920 - Wilson's 2nd Term

Market index for Wilson's 2nd term

1912-1916 - Wilson's 1st Term

Market index for Wilson's 1st term

1908-1912 - Taft

Market index for Taft's term

1904-1908 - Roosevelt's 2nd Term

Market index for Roosevelt's 2nd term

1900-1904 - Roosevelt's 1st Term

Market index for Roosevelt's 1st term